0x0eb03D1F05384d4D0477D8Be80DB1689E86be120-1767655066778
0x0eb03d1f05384d4d0477d8be80db1689e86be120
- Realised P&L
- $1.82
- Volume
- $133.10
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.505 | $2.52 | −$1.93 |
| Heat vs. Timberwolves · Heat | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.30at 0.880Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$1.29at 0.405Cavaliers vs. Pacers
- +$0.35at 0.690Magic vs. Wizards
- +$0.07at 0.280Magic vs. Wizards
- +$0.05at 0.920Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-10 03:50 | Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 01-09 21:57 | Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 01-09 21:12 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.50 |
| 01-07 02:45 | Heat vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 02:16 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | SELL | 0.97 | $1.05 |
| 01-07 02:15 | Magic vs. Wizards | SELL | 0.93 | $1.34 |
| 01-07 02:12 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 02:09 | Magic vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 02:06 | Magic vs. Wizards | SELL | 0.301 | $1.07 |
| 01-07 02:06 | Magic vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.2803798141 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 02:00 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | SELL | 0.58 | $4.29 |
| 01-07 01:59 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 01:58 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 01:55 | Cavaliers vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 01-06 05:22 | Warriors vs. Clippers | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |