mr125x
0x0e9968d4629407b4c0d68b80fb51e0f9850a994e
- Realised P&L
- $6.5k
- Volume
- $570.3k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $6.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.5kat 0.042Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$1.4kat 0.040Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?
- +$990.17at 0.045Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 5?
- +$713.23at 0.037Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?
- +$656.29at 0.065Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 18:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22? | BUY | 0.09 | $86.54 |
| 06-21 23:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? | BUY | 0.0358531653 | $46.10 |
| 06-21 23:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.0208926077 | $14.55 |
| 06-21 23:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 28? | BUY | 0.1028443791 | $76.00 |
| 06-21 23:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 27? | BUY | 0.0159756914 | $50.00 |
| 06-21 23:38 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.094999995 | $16.67 |
| 06-09 16:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.0545596232 | $88.07 |
| 06-07 19:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? | BUY | 0.0679999989 | $51.91 |
| 06-06 10:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.1096822633 | $69.04 |
| 06-05 14:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.07 |
| 06-04 17:32 | LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs | SELL | 0.52 | $129.99 |
| 06-04 05:23 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4? | SELL | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 06-04 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 10? | SELL | 0.025722284 | $31.24 |
| 06-04 05:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 5? | SELL | 0.0105823425 | $18.32 |
| 06-03 22:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 10? | BUY | 0.0745205479 | $17.00 |