0x0e8f3CC894D52f7bE3a580AEFF25935A78355A42-1771619213538
0x0e8f3cc894d52f7be3a580aeff25935a78355a42
- Realised P&L
- $-43.72
- Volume
- $499.71
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $58.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.675 | $20.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.175 | $19.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $18.65 | −$0.29 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.48 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? · No | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.44at 0.450US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
- +$20.30at 0.330US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$-9.99at 0.141Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:36 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999906 | $18.94 |
| 07-26 20:36 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.669999995 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 02:58 | Will the Republican Party hold between 195 and 199 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 02-28 14:47 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.6699999982 | $74.00 |
| 02-20 21:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999896 | $9.92 |
| 02-20 21:22 | US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 02-20 21:21 | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 21:20 | US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.48 |