PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0e86291312cC9c9d99e9bAEd1E300D8F6dfE8795-1781704076424

0x0e86291312cc9c9d99e9baed1e300d8f6dfe8795

Realised P&L
$123.64
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$15.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit? · Yes0.4150.200$14.45$15.55
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit? · Yes0.0010.001$0.99$0.01
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? · No0.6000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.1920.000$0.00$4.00
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 13, 2026? · No0.1700.000$0.00$1.14
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 29, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 27, 2026? · No0.1200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 23:31Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit?BUY0.001$1.00
09-23 23:30Will the Trump and Xi handshake last less than 2 seconds during their summit?BUY0.0010145641$1.00
09-23 23:25Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?SELL0.999$70.18
09-23 23:01Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.3798898183$10.00
09-23 23:01Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.3749999953$10.00
09-23 22:55Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?SELL0.3$0.91
09-23 22:18Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during their summit?BUY0.5189999929$10.00
09-23 22:02Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?BUY0.999$20.00
09-23 22:01Will Russia target Kyiv on September 24, 2026?BUY0.9953807931$50.00
09-22 23:23Will Russia target Kyiv on September 23, 2026?BUY0.9782784799$328.40
09-22 23:22Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.77$327.47
09-22 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.2899999884$1.00
09-22 11:04Will Russia target Kyiv on September 22, 2026?SELL0.971$1.98
09-21 22:30Will Russia target Kyiv on September 22, 2026?BUY0.9699999951$1.98
09-21 22:13Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during their summit?BUY0.3299998944$1.00