mvp222
0x0e828636017513c6925ce5d295f3ded14ec7dec7
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $128.6k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $274.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $99.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will BNB dip to $300 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $94.71 | −$0.09 |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in September? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $79.84 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.520Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?
- +$22.00at 0.010Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$12.07at 0.995Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.16at 0.980Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$3.91at 0.982US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:45 | Will BNB dip to $300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $94.81 |
| 09-21 22:44 | Will Solana dip to $30 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 09-21 22:42 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-21 22:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $274.19 |
| 08-14 01:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $273.93 |
| 08-04 17:35 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.20 |
| 08-04 17:14 | Will White House post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $123.46 |
| 07-28 18:24 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $273.40 |
| 07-24 18:41 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $273.14 |
| 07-15 18:21 | Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $139.68 |
| 07-07 21:15 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.987 | $137.76 |
| 07-05 04:45 | Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.992 | $136.70 |
| 06-30 00:45 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $136.38 |
| 06-25 21:30 | Will New Zealand reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $136.21 |
| 06-06 21:30 | Will Mitchell Robinson lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total points? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.10 |