0x0e7a7b29a0bdd6bd3b5b2a5817cb2cf0c00fecc8
0x0e7a7b29a0bdd6bd3b5b2a5817cb2cf0c00fecc8
- Realised P&L
- $7.92
- Volume
- $388.93
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $7.50
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.971 | $2.90 | +$0.90 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.280 | $1.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · No | 0.760 | 0.575 | $1.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.165 | $1.22 | −$0.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.8% and 1.6%?
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$4.38at 0.321Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:19 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 22:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 13:34 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:33 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:27 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 21:36 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 12:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 04:46 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:01 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 19:56 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 05:19 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 20:34 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 17:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |