adamocena
0x0e73064225804d25c35ebe99ec29aeff5dc42b7d
- Realised P&L
- $-88.04
- Volume
- $524.38
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $9.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.075 | $9.38 | −$45.63 |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.252 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Down | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.48at 0.649NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 13?
- +$-5.23at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
- +$-5.32at 0.085Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 19:03 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $55.00 |
| 08-13 18:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 18:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 08-13 15:24 | NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on August 13? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-13 12:50 | Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2522789196 | $75.00 |