PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0E6615097c1622321d2e0f4ABa7B8B819d226b36-1773918298475

0x0e6615097c1622321d2e0f4aba7b8b819d226b36

Realised P&L
$-690.38
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$40.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026? · Yes0.8800.820$40.62$2.97
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$27.85
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.8500.000$0.00$250.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 06:58Will Russia target Kyiv on September 16, 2026?BUY0.8799999984$43.59
09-14 14:53Will Russia target Kyiv on September 15, 2026?BUY0.7699999995$33.55
09-14 14:52Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026?SELL0.98$33.57
09-13 10:07Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026?BUY0.8360425928$28.65
09-13 10:06Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?SELL0.915$28.66
09-07 10:30Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?BUY0.8649999997$27.10
09-07 10:27Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0196239981$22.55
09-05 13:36Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?SELL0.29$4.06
09-04 17:25Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?BUY0.63$8.82
08-29 08:54Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.93$8.37
07-08 10:35Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0684920635$8.63
06-28 09:41Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4185843317$481.00
06-28 09:40Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?SELL0.7608086049$480.98
06-19 07:46Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6408952107$393.00
06-19 07:46Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?SELL0.9251627703$115.95