0x47eb441aFCB74c9d0b2EF5645C9E203aAE38fc19-1775715135136
0x0e5f75a5101cc7618649344b6e356eb2a2b86fa5
- Realised P&L
- $-61.02
- Volume
- $866.99
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $41.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.86at 0.511Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
- +$10.20at 0.616Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
- +$9.38at 0.480US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
- +$7.53at 0.491Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$4.11at 0.337Solana Up or Down - May 24, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.63 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 19:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 19:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $1.69 |
| 10-14 19:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 18:59 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 10:09 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 10:08 | Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.17 |
| 10-07 10:08 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.117 | $1.31 |
| 10-07 10:07 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.56 |
| 09-13 16:35 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999941 | $2.54 |
| 09-13 16:28 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0889999965 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 16:25 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.344 | $2.98 |
| 09-13 16:25 | UK Recession in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $0.71 |