PolyBot

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Traders

M8PG0B

0x0e5f577c75f0837b706ecb87bdf7a60e8954140d

Realised P&L
$380.90
Volume
$19.6k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7500.961$1.5k+$336.80
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.8390.973$695.48+$95.48
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? · No0.8540.922$216.14+$16.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-02 15:18Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.75$1.2k
05-02 15:06Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?BUY0.838986961$600.00
05-02 14:14Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?BUY0.8536307756$200.00
05-02 10:14Will BP be acquired before 2027?SELL0.8069881517$413.43
05-02 09:52Will BP be acquired before 2027?SELL0.89$578.50
05-02 09:37Will BP be acquired before 2027?BUY0.8173360235$950.00
05-02 09:18Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.995$2.0k
01-30 14:48Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.8906049305$1.8k
01-30 14:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.985$1.8k
12-12 02:46Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.9835436349$1.8k
12-12 02:45Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL0.9841858163$1.8k
12-11 04:53Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.9399999999$1.7k
10-30 11:49Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.9844543285$1.7k
10-15 12:47Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY0.981$1.5k