0x0e4f2e1c15c1bb18370b4457566b0407b0536055
0x0e4f2e1c15c1bb18370b4457566b0407b0536055
- Realised P&L
- $593.64
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $111.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.605 | $60.50 | +$9.50 |
| Bruins vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.550 | 1.000 | $50.88 | +$22.88 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) · Jets | 0.230 | 0.005 | $0.36 | −$14.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$672.26at 0.321Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$269.04at 0.103Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$245.74at 0.451Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5
- +$213.10at 0.467NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens
- +$140.21at 0.271Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:32 | Spread: Jets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2299999975 | $15.00 |
| 10-02 23:52 | Bruins vs. Jets: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.549999999 | $28.00 |
| 09-10 16:40 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 08-13 20:47 | Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 08-11 01:01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 19:11 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 07-29 19:05 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.3099999907 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 17:38 | Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 19:00 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2074999949 | $30.00 |
| 07-18 21:06 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.3899999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-17 23:09 | Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 19:10 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3374999959 | $45.00 |
| 07-09 20:56 | France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 18:50 | Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-06 23:51 | Exact Score: Any Other Score? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |