PolyBot

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Traders

0x0e4b5da85311b3fe38cf5fa13be39e8059b7cc34

0x0e4b5da85311b3fe38cf5fa13be39e8059b7cc34

Realised P&L
$94.01
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week? · No0.8800.975$253.37+$24.57
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.9100.998$249.50+$22.00
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? · Yes0.8500.945$240.85+$24.10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? · No0.8500.935$221.70+$20.16
Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026? · No0.8620.660$191.44−$58.56
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.6300.640$152.38+$2.38
Lula participates in debate before first round? · No0.9770.987$121.06+$1.23
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9540.980$103.50+$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 03:01Will Trump name an AI czar by October 2, 2026?BUY0.8619000975$250.00
10-01 02:49Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.6299999987$150.00
09-30 03:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.9699999999$76.57
09-30 02:05US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?BUY0.8499999996$201.55
09-30 01:57Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9540021135$100.75
09-29 02:22US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9?BUY0.85$216.75
09-29 02:22Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9675346004$160.00
09-29 01:35Trump insults Anthropic CEO this week?BUY0.88$228.80
09-27 02:10US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.8599999988$29.03
09-26 14:29Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.937$127.95
09-26 14:28Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$94.00
09-26 14:11Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8753108346$140.00
09-26 02:52Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9101701614$150.00
09-26 02:49US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.9559999999$220.00
09-26 02:24Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$63.18