ZOV22
0x0e4922e4983cc78b0870e1994cde520db0e2fc23
- Realised P&L
- $-55.45
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $80.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.814 | 0.845 | $67.60 | +$2.50 |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? · Yes | 0.990 | 1.000 | $7.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.052 | $6.03 | +$0.16 |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.12 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? · Yes | 0.769 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$284.47 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.07 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$948.75at 0.416Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
- +$199.69at 0.830Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?
- +$50.84at 0.730Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
- +$31.76at 0.681Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
- +$21.50at 0.894Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:28 | Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.00 |
| 10-25 05:56 | Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? | BUY | 0.054 | $2.70 |
| 10-12 17:00 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-12 16:53 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 10-12 16:53 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 10-12 16:53 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.70 |
| 10-12 03:23 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $47.60 |
| 09-16 09:49 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 09-08 19:08 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.061 | $1.22 |
| 09-08 13:36 | Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.86 |
| 02-18 21:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $3.25 |
| 01-08 23:07 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.6599999238 | $2.08 |
| 01-08 23:07 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by January 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.09 |
| 01-03 07:02 | Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $23.18 |
| 01-01 18:53 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $39.66 |