Extra
0x0e3f2408d9f9d275602fd09c092562ed6995c42b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $172.0k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $777.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.00at 0.074Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 13?
- +$100.00at 0.120Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 30?
- +$73.18at 0.105Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on December 7?
- +$49.72at 0.064Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 11?
- +$33.34at 0.070Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 18:54 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October? | BUY | 0.0278322135 | $27.37 |
| 10-05 20:40 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in October? | BUY | 0.0266752898 | $28.09 |
| 09-21 15:57 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0367023298 | $91.05 |
| 09-19 18:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.041 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 18:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 21:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.038 | $92.68 |
| 09-05 19:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0389999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-05 19:30 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0389999992 | $50.00 |
| 08-25 18:23 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0389999996 | $96.35 |
| 06-16 18:58 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $95.32 |
| 06-16 15:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $94.03 |
| 02-05 14:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 11? | BUY | 0.0891089101 | $100.00 |
| 02-05 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 11? | BUY | 0.0417303078 | $92.84 |
| 02-03 17:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on February 9? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 12-12 11:43 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 15? | SELL | 0.1010636306 | $56.15 |