PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0e3C54e287579B80B738BD6Df6e0673Cbc05E8D0-1779320763779

0x0e3c54e287579b80b738bd6df6e0673cbc05e8d0

Realised P&L
$-14.17
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$209.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio? · Yes0.0050.004$50.31−$9.69
Clippers vs. Warriors · Clippers0.4600.465$48.17+$0.52
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas? · Yes0.0110.013$15.15+$2.15
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan? · Yes0.0110.011$10.45+$0.45
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan? · Yes0.0070.006$9.29−$0.71
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine? · Yes0.0090.008$8.89−$1.11
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? · Yes0.0040.004$8.75−$1.25
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan? · Yes0.0030.003$8.33−$1.66
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan? · Yes0.0030.003$8.33−$1.66
Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan? · Yes0.0030.003$8.33−$1.66
Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas? · Yes0.0040.004$7.88−$1.12
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine? · Yes0.0090.006$7.22−$2.78
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2900.285$6.70−$0.12
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas? · Yes0.0030.003$4.17−$0.83
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? · Yes0.0030.003$4.17−$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:02Clippers vs. WarriorsBUY0.4599999979$47.65
11-01 23:43Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?BUY0.003$5.00
11-01 23:25Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?BUY0.004$9.00
11-01 23:24Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.28$9.80
11-01 23:12Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999969$16.97
11-01 23:10Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?BUY0.011$10.00
11-01 23:10Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?BUY0.007$10.00
11-01 23:07Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?BUY0.003$10.00
11-01 23:07Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan?BUY0.003$10.00
11-01 23:06Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.004$10.00
11-01 23:06Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?BUY0.003$10.00
11-01 23:06Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?BUY0.009$10.00
11-01 23:05Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?BUY0.009$10.00
11-01 23:05Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?BUY0.003$5.00
11-01 23:04Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?BUY0.0111537535$13.00