xxdr589
0x0e31bbcb3372e48a729161a150806b1066a09150
- Realised P&L
- $-339.46
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $41.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.948 | 0.984 | $21.55 | +$0.79 |
| Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.800 | 0.860 | $19.78 | +$1.38 |
| Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Ohio vs. Western Michigan · Ohio | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$340.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.35at 0.990Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.33at 0.977Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.28at 0.995Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July?
- +$0.22at 0.994Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.11at 0.998Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-24 03:08 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in February? | BUY | 0.9979997962 | $1.90 |
| 02-24 03:08 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.11 |
| 02-24 03:08 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.40 |
| 02-24 03:08 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 02-24 03:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 1? | BUY | 0.9942346702 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 03:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 28? | BUY | 0.9969999996 | $2.46 |
| 02-24 03:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 03:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 26? | BUY | 0.9970063144 | $3.00 |
| 02-24 03:05 | Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping? | BUY | 0.0032951915 | $1.00 |
| 02-24 02:14 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.953 | $20.87 |
| 02-03 06:05 | Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $55.53 |
| 09-29 12:29 | Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.994 | $55.31 |
| 04-24 04:50 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $34.79 |
| 04-24 04:49 | Will Solana reach $250 in April? | BUY | 0.9969999769 | $20.00 |
| 02-17 08:09 | Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.59 |