CFW
0x0e2e49c5e8c8901b5dec323add6dfca62c41db6a
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $175.8k
- Markets traded
- 156
- Open portfolio
- $631.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded156
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$896.17at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$746.66at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$652.21at 0.453Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$450.64at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 09:31 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $60.90 |
| 09-07 09:31 | Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $15.02 |
| 08-22 08:29 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $44.00 |
| 05-17 00:29 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999972 | $39.97 |
| 05-17 00:28 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30? | BUY | 0.615154751 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 00:27 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30? | BUY | 0.2844531565 | $20.00 |
| 05-17 00:27 | Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30? | BUY | 0.2469428475 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 22:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0450000005 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 22:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 22:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 22:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 22:14 | Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.0241185292 | $7.04 |
| 03-25 22:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 22:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.119999996 | $25.00 |
| 03-25 22:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $50.00 |