PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

CFW

0x0e2e49c5e8c8901b5dec323add6dfca62c41db6a

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$175.8k
Markets traded
156
Open portfolio
$631.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded156
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9510.989$124.82+$4.82
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.385$98.00$42.00
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.989$84.13+$4.13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.165$66.08$93.92
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$57.14$23.71
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.985$52.96+$2.96
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2840.095$40.16$79.84
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.985$31.77+$1.77
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.060$24.55$65.45
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.976$21.44+$1.44
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.050$15.47$34.53
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.038$8.02$16.98
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.029$1.48$3.52
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.025$1.23$3.77
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.011$1.10$3.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-07 09:31Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.002$60.90
09-07 09:31Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.002$15.02
08-22 08:29Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.66$44.00
05-17 00:29MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1499999972$39.97
05-17 00:28Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?BUY0.615154751$20.00
05-17 00:27Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?BUY0.2844531565$20.00
05-17 00:27Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?BUY0.2469428475$50.00
03-25 22:15Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0450000005$5.00
03-25 22:15Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$5.00
03-25 22:14Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
03-25 22:14Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
03-25 22:14Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.0241185292$7.04
03-25 22:13Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
03-25 22:13Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.119999996$25.00
03-25 22:13Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$50.00