aqin
0x0e29c063d3f03a74ec7aa63ebdefdad807a31286
- Realised P&L
- $-75.24
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $67.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.230 | $66.70 | −$75.40 |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up | 0.426 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.36 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down | 0.473 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.83 |
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.96at 0.619Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$4.49at 0.635Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
- +$4.14at 0.948Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$-0.30at 0.985Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$-1.61at 0.675Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 10:36 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 08:43 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.30 |
| 01-26 12:01 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.673 | $134.60 |
| 01-26 12:00 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.675 | $135.00 |
| 01-26 11:59 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $6.36 |
| 01-26 11:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $2.96 |
| 01-26 11:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.95 |
| 01-23 09:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $0.98 |
| 01-23 09:56 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.3830477054 | $160.59 |
| 01-23 09:56 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.3859522948 | $161.81 |
| 01-22 13:20 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $4.86 |
| 12-20 12:32 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.20 |
| 12-18 07:17 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6193961028 | $153.85 |
| 12-18 07:12 | Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 11-25 09:43 | Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.993 | $148.95 |