PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Stanforddf

0x0e241a58c778f14b941083558a454deae7032cae

Realised P&L
$-53.70
Volume
$20.0k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$93.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens0.6000.585$78.97−$2.02
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? · No0.9980.996$14.97−$0.03
Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00−$13.94
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.2300.000$0.00−$17.09
Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges0.3570.000$0.00−$4.20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$109.74
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22? · No0.6270.000$0.00−$14.26
PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4100.000$0.00−$25.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 11:56Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.998$0.40
10-13 11:55Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?SELL0.998$633.96
10-13 11:55Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.998$24.62
10-13 11:55Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.999$180.00
10-13 11:55Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.998$162.84
10-13 11:54Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?BUY0.999$455.00
10-13 11:54Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.998$488.50
10-13 11:53Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?BUY0.998$10.00
10-13 11:53Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.999$652.00
10-13 11:53Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.998$648.70
10-13 11:53Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18?BUY0.997002991$5.00
10-13 11:52Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.999$674.00
10-13 07:20Sabres vs. CanadiensBUY0.6$81.00
10-08 08:06Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)BUY0.38$25.08
09-14 07:06LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals PlayoffsBUY0.41$18.45