Stanforddf
0x0e241a58c778f14b941083558a454deae7032cae
- Realised P&L
- $-53.70
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $93.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabres vs. Canadiens · Canadiens | 0.600 | 0.585 | $78.97 | −$2.02 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $14.97 | −$0.03 |
| Málaga CF vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.94 |
| Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.09 |
| Barcelona Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nuno Borges · Nuno Borges | 0.357 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$109.74 |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22? · No | 0.627 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.26 |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$346.55at 0.500Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$341.13at 0.500Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$337.56at 0.500Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$154.44at 0.500Will Harry Kane win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$40.14at 0.392Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 11:56 | Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $0.40 |
| 10-13 11:55 | Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $633.96 |
| 10-13 11:55 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $24.62 |
| 10-13 11:55 | Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $180.00 |
| 10-13 11:55 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $162.84 |
| 10-13 11:54 | Will Máximo Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $455.00 |
| 10-13 11:54 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $488.50 |
| 10-13 11:53 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 11:53 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $652.00 |
| 10-13 11:53 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.998 | $648.70 |
| 10-13 11:53 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.997002991 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 11:52 | Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $674.00 |
| 10-13 07:20 | Sabres vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.6 | $81.00 |
| 10-08 08:06 | Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $25.08 |
| 09-14 07:06 | LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | BUY | 0.41 | $18.45 |