0x0e1f21e052f7b4a5b21c26ceee5706700d1a076e
0x0e1f21e052f7b4a5b21c26ceee5706700d1a076e
- Realised P&L
- $2.32
- Volume
- $32.35
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.365 | $1.52 | +$0.52 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.710 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.885 | $1.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.145 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.17at 0.460US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
- +$0.87at 0.540Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?
- +$0.80at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$0.59at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.52at 0.661Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 21:24 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 05:14 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:22 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 10:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 02:52 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 17:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 08:35 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:52 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 08:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 00:08 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 07:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 23:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |