KingMaker2147
0x0e1570f0f248a79fc904bf771a3f8da2333a9468
- Realised P&L
- $-459.35
- Volume
- $43.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $323.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.009 | $274.38 | −$2.0k |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.045 | $48.91 | −$201.09 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.00 |
| Will Denmark join the Board of Peace? · Yes | 0.191 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.135Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$354.23at 0.297Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$34.23at 0.420Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$-10.00at 0.020Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$-32.16at 0.229Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 13:13 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.082713036 | $2.0k |
| 06-02 13:13 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.6663092581 | $1.8k |
| 06-02 13:12 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0638012864 | $300.00 |
| 06-02 13:10 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.674 | $651.96 |
| 02-04 05:25 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1354921327 | $504.34 |
| 01-24 21:13 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.339999999 | $196.00 |
| 01-24 21:10 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | SELL | 0.5728950424 | $128.27 |
| 01-24 21:09 | Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace? | SELL | 0.1553582961 | $67.84 |
| 01-23 02:35 | Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | BUY | 0.4199999991 | $94.04 |
| 01-23 02:30 | Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? | SELL | 0.1476738864 | $57.89 |
| 01-22 16:15 | Will Denmark join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.1906415329 | $100.00 |
| 01-22 16:14 | Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.2290152332 | $100.00 |
| 01-19 07:47 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999994 | $250.00 |
| 01-17 08:11 | Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1989946662 | $50.00 |
| 01-16 03:01 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |