PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

KingMaker2147

0x0e1570f0f248a79fc904bf771a3f8da2333a9468

Realised P&L
$-459.35
Volume
$43.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$323.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration83.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0800.009$274.38$2.0k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.045$48.91$201.09
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$85.00
Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.1990.000$0.00$50.00
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? · No0.3400.000$0.00$196.00
Will Denmark join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 13:13Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.082713036$2.0k
06-02 13:13Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.6663092581$1.8k
06-02 13:12Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.0638012864$300.00
06-02 13:10Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.674$651.96
02-04 05:25Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1354921327$504.34
01-24 21:13U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?BUY0.339999999$196.00
01-24 21:10Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?SELL0.5728950424$128.27
01-24 21:09Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?SELL0.1553582961$67.84
01-23 02:35Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?BUY0.4199999991$94.04
01-23 02:30Will Saikat Chakrabarti receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?SELL0.1476738864$57.89
01-22 16:15Will Denmark join the Board of Peace?BUY0.1906415329$100.00
01-22 16:14Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?BUY0.2290152332$100.00
01-19 07:47Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2299999994$250.00
01-17 08:11Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1989946662$50.00
01-16 03:01Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?BUY0.1299999979$50.00