592bcBBc71C8
0x0e11bb592bcbbc71c832c7f54502e95ff2ff5b4c
- Realised P&L
- $0.11
- Volume
- $147.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $5.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? · No | 0.997 | 0.967 | $5.50 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.38at 0.745Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 3?
- +$0.30at 0.948Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
- +$0.21at 0.950Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 11-17?
- +$0.18at 0.930Will Trump visit China by March 31?
- +$0.10at 0.988Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 08:51 | Israeli forces enter Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.67 |
| 09-10 08:51 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.969 | $8.03 |
| 08-04 09:31 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999264 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 09:30 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | SELL | 0.986 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 09:58 | 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.987999998 | $2.01 |
| 06-03 03:22 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30? | BUY | 0.9699999861 | $1.40 |
| 05-20 07:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 22? | BUY | 0.9859999982 | $3.28 |
| 05-20 07:28 | US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.42 |
| 05-13 11:41 | US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? | BUY | 0.9819999263 | $2.40 |
| 05-13 11:41 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.982 | $8.90 |
| 04-08 06:06 | Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.9479999996 | $8.59 |
| 04-03 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 3? | BUY | 0.9889999993 | $8.49 |
| 03-17 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 35°F or below on March 19? | BUY | 0.988 | $8.40 |
| 03-11 09:38 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 11? | BUY | 0.9909999994 | $8.32 |
| 02-26 11:46 | NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9619768786 | $8.32 |