nibbio2
0x0e10150c23749c451807bfdc7c1b81caa28e0d5c
- Realised P&L
- $-62.85
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $183.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.135 | $72.06 | −$1.82 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.305 | $51.06 | −$2.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? · Yes | 0.186 | 0.195 | $29.25 | +$1.35 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.295 | $18.59 | +$0.94 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.040 | $12.00 | −$0.90 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.035 | $0.88 | −$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.78at 0.705Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
- +$-5.00at 0.255ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$-7.04at 0.138Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$-68.59at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1301960784 | $6.64 |
| 10-01 12:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $47.98 |
| 10-01 12:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.14 | $21.00 |
| 10-01 12:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.14 | $21.00 |
| 10-01 12:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.1399386929 | $21.00 |
| 10-01 12:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? | BUY | 0.0528 | $1.32 |
| 10-01 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999774 | $3.05 |
| 10-01 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999946 | $38.54 |
| 10-01 12:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $10.88 |
| 10-01 12:03 | ZCash Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2419811275 | $4.75 |
| 10-01 11:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.045 | $6.75 |
| 10-01 11:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.59 |
| 10-01 11:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? | BUY | 0.041 | $6.15 |
| 10-01 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $66.00 |
| 10-01 10:43 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | BUY | 0.28 | $17.64 |