0x0E0Bdd66DC13Eb7d434e8718D31568722545f6d1-1767533839697
0x0e0bdd66dc13eb7d434e8718d31568722545f6d1
- Realised P&L
- $-87.85
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $100.47
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? · Yes | 0.438 | 0.440 | $100.47 | +$0.47 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.85at 0.602Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$57.21at 0.637Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$34.36at 0.746Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$6.26at 0.510Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.989Will BNB reach $1200 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:36 | Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027? | BUY | 0.4379562031 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 20:43 | Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $16.76 |
| 08-23 20:43 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $1.11 |
| 08-23 20:43 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $3.52 |
| 07-13 21:20 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 08:50 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.4299999979 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 23:13 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2374999948 | $25.00 |
| 07-10 23:13 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999979 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 22:30 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5674999972 | $60.00 |
| 07-09 22:29 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.59672992 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 22:28 | Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 22:27 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.5949999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 22:27 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | SELL | 0.9975 | $158.33 |
| 07-07 20:54 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 14:05 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |