contactdaz
0x0e0a10731736bf923722f1a7bdc86a26375845c0
- Realised P&L
- $123.39
- Volume
- $51.6k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $2.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obama arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.027 | $2.85 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.87at 0.159Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?
- +$79.46at 0.054Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?
- +$50.00at 0.253Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?
- +$49.55at 0.400Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $90k first?
- +$46.34at 0.218Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 10:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.65 |
| 03-02 10:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 02-13 09:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.22 |
| 02-13 09:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0216418485 | $0.34 |
| 02-11 08:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0270000002 | $5.00 |
| 01-28 12:27 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 06:46 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.0599999724 | $2.00 |
| 01-17 11:19 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 01-15 16:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1099999521 | $2.00 |
| 01-13 09:28 | Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 01-13 09:24 | Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 01-12 22:04 | Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 01-11 14:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 01-11 14:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $0.97 |
| 01-11 14:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |