zrgtr
0x0e062922937e878eb0cc35cd8df420418692b849
- Realised P&L
- $-15.02
- Volume
- $31.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $35.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.998 | $35.91 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.33at 0.991Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.998Will Solana reach $200 in February?
- +$0.07at 0.998Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.07at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 9?
- +$-0.01at 0.998Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 13:03 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $36.51 |
| 10-06 13:01 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.989999997 | $36.52 |
| 08-27 01:18 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $36.38 |
| 07-22 13:11 | Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.38 |
| 07-22 13:10 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.991 | $36.16 |
| 07-02 23:51 | Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $36.20 |
| 06-14 14:04 | Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.00 |
| 06-14 14:03 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.996 | $36.15 |
| 05-25 09:27 | Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.23 |
| 05-25 09:26 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $35.92 |
| 05-11 03:47 | Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $36.00 |
| 05-11 03:46 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $35.66 |
| 04-13 14:02 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.70 |
| 03-09 09:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999998 | $36.00 |
| 02-20 05:17 | Will Solana reach $200 in February? | BUY | 0.998 | $35.93 |