PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zrgtr

0x0e062922937e878eb0cc35cd8df420418692b849

Realised P&L
$-15.02
Volume
$31.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$35.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · No0.9970.998$35.91+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 13:03Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.99$36.51
10-06 13:01Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.989999997$36.52
08-27 01:18Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.998$36.38
07-22 13:11Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.998$36.38
07-22 13:10Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.991$36.16
07-02 23:51Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.992$36.20
06-14 14:04Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$36.00
06-14 14:03Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.996$36.15
05-25 09:27Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.998$36.23
05-25 09:26Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$35.92
05-11 03:47Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.9939999999$36.00
05-11 03:46Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.998$35.66
04-13 14:02Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$35.70
03-09 09:11Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?BUY0.9909999998$36.00
02-20 05:17Will Solana reach $200 in February?BUY0.998$35.93