Johndog99
0x0dfe2e3b3cbf644faf05c87178af68c75b566c48
- Realised P&L
- $-13.66
- Volume
- $771.39
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $46.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.245 | $39.52 | −$10.48 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.065 | $4.06 | −$5.94 |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.115 | $2.84 | −$3.09 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Up | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.71 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August? · No | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Down | 0.316 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.11at 0.459Lions vs. Bengals
- +$11.33at 0.728Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$10.08at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$8.66at 0.376Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
- +$7.25at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 15:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999827 | $8.00 |
| 08-21 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999884 | $8.00 |
| 08-21 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 08-21 14:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2309024153 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 11:44 | Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.2399999725 | $5.93 |
| 08-03 11:43 | Lions vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.446601924 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 11:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in August? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999562 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 03:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999552 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 03:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $0.71 |
| 08-01 03:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |