PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0dfc89cC9ab5Fcb8ae74706C757954354a9DB16F-1768306991177

0x0dfc89cc9ab5fcb8ae74706c757954354a9db16f

Realised P&L
$211.18
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
702
Open portfolio
$1.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded702
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? · No0.0110.016$1.50+$0.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 10? · No0.0180.007$0.42−$0.58
BNB Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9AM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5AM ET · Down0.5700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.5980.000$0.00−$1.00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up0.6170.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Down0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - September 18, 5AM ET · Down0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$3.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 13, 4AM ET · Down0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down - July 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 10?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
10-08 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ETBUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-07 17:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?BUY0.0106899902$1.00
10-07 17:13Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8?BUY0.016$1.00
10-07 15:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-07 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11AM ETBUY0.5799999768$9.00
10-07 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-07 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10AM ETBUY0.5399999568$3.00
10-07 13:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?SELL0.006$1.50
10-07 13:35Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ETBUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-07 13:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9AM ETBUY0.559999776$1.00
10-07 02:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?BUY0.007$1.00
10-06 15:17Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11AM ETBUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-06 15:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 7?BUY0.004$1.00
10-06 14:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10AM ETBUY0.3099999473$1.00