jcharger
0x0dedae6a02ea2ff8018ba5f277632919ed1c9025
- Realised P&L
- $31.3k
- Volume
- $863.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,726
- Open portfolio
- $849.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,726
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.090Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 20?
- +$2.4kat 0.010Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 2, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.095Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.010Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?
- +$838.89at 0.161Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 13:06 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.1004044118 | $13.66 |
| 09-10 13:07 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.271509434 | $14.39 |
| 09-09 14:11 | Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.39 |
| 09-08 12:59 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.86 |
| 09-06 14:33 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.007 | $0.79 |
| 09-03 07:26 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0197832311 | $1.26 |
| 09-03 07:24 | Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0956468563 | $15.00 |
| 08-24 12:48 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0797986459 | $11.31 |
| 08-24 12:46 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0431707317 | $1.42 |
| 08-24 12:44 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.28 |
| 08-21 10:08 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.1050200818 | $25.94 |
| 08-14 13:41 | Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.005468359 | $1.53 |
| 08-14 13:40 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.81 |
| 08-14 13:39 | Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.23 |
| 08-13 01:31 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.0144472597 | $3.46 |