jcharger
0x0dedae6a02ea2ff8018ba5f277632919ed1c9025
- Realised P&L
- $31.2k
- Volume
- $856.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,755
- Open portfolio
- $375.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,755
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.090Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.0% and 46.4% on June 20?
- +$2.4kat 0.010Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 2, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.095Will Trump’s approval rating be 42.0–43.9% on December 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.010Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 25?
- +$838.89at 0.161Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during speech on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 11:59 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0079697233 | $3.95 |
| 11-01 11:59 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $19.53 |
| 11-01 11:57 | Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.17 |
| 11-01 11:56 | Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.026 | $0.18 |
| 11-01 11:54 | Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.92 |
| 10-30 03:06 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $437,000 and $446,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.77 |
| 10-30 03:01 | Will the median home value in NYC be at least $510,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.0080492851 | $1.06 |
| 10-24 19:07 | Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0633703704 | $4.28 |
| 10-24 19:04 | Will the median home value in Miami be at least $870,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0094564122 | $0.73 |
| 10-24 19:02 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0095079562 | $0.84 |
| 10-24 19:02 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,125,000 and $1,146,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.19 |
| 10-24 19:00 | Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.067 | $2.01 |
| 10-22 16:11 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $34.64 |
| 10-22 16:05 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.53 |
| 10-22 16:04 | Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,125,000 and $1,146,000 on December 31? | BUY | 0.0095176887 | $0.65 |