PolyBot

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Traders

jcharger

0x0dedae6a02ea2ff8018ba5f277632919ed1c9025

Realised P&L
$31.2k
Volume
$856.6k
Markets traded
2,755
Open portfolio
$375.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded2,755
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration51.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31? · No0.5400.655$68.78+$12.03
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0700.190$53.02+$33.49
Will Alex Pretti be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.0110.052$39.81+$31.81
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8700.940$36.15+$2.69
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31? · No0.3200.270$29.23−$5.41
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.7500.959$28.75+$6.25
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0080.050$24.77+$20.82
Will Renée Good be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · Yes0.0320.046$17.15+$5.12
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,062,000 and $1,083,000 on December 31? · Yes0.1270.184$14.93+$4.63
Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0290.082$14.74+$9.46
Will the median home value in Miami be between $851,000 and $870,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0300.089$8.85+$5.89
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0500.038$5.80−$1.73
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $511,000 and $515,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0210.029$4.03+$1.16
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $507,000 and $511,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0080.021$3.56+$2.20
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31? · Yes0.0190.024$3.54+$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:59Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,148,000 and $1,159,000 on December 31?BUY0.0079697233$3.95
11-01 11:59Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,126,000 and $1,137,000 on December 31?BUY0.07$19.53
11-01 11:57Will the median home value in Miami be less than $767,000 on December 31?BUY0.003$0.17
11-01 11:56Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?BUY0.026$0.18
11-01 11:54Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31?BUY0.019$1.92
10-30 03:06Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $437,000 and $446,000 on December 31?SELL0.01$0.77
10-30 03:01Will the median home value in NYC be at least $510,000 on December 31?SELL0.0080492851$1.06
10-24 19:07Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?BUY0.0633703704$4.28
10-24 19:04Will the median home value in Miami be at least $870,000 on December 31?BUY0.0094564122$0.73
10-24 19:02Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,146,000 and $1,165,000 on December 31?BUY0.0095079562$0.84
10-24 19:02Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,125,000 and $1,146,000 on December 31?BUY0.013$0.19
10-24 19:00Will the median home value in the US be between $411,000 and $415,000 on December 31?BUY0.067$2.01
10-22 16:11Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?BUY0.32$34.64
10-22 16:05Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,083,000 and $1,104,000 on December 31?BUY0.05$7.53
10-22 16:04Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be between $1,125,000 and $1,146,000 on December 31?BUY0.0095176887$0.65