PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

migga

0x0de7c59a2ef6012840165d612a518afbe74a183c

Realised P&L
$3.1k
Volume
$114.7k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$567.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · No0.8280.886$533.07+$34.97
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes0.0210.025$34.53+$6.11
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$980.00
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$30.20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.0820.000$0.00−$19.72
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? · No0.6550.000$0.00−$97.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET · Down0.5580.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 5PM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 19 2025? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$22.00
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$6.80
Will GPT-5 be released by August 5? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3? · No0.2600.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 15:35Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.0220554585$10.00
10-17 23:07Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.02$4.28
10-12 10:27Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.843$252.90
10-11 11:50Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?BUY0.8$101.25
09-28 13:15Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 28?SELL0.999$19.98
06-13 08:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13?BUY0.6550726103$97.05
05-25 13:20US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
04-07 17:24Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?SELL0.3$0.42
04-07 17:24Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.61$4.22
04-07 17:23US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?SELL0.963$5.53
04-07 17:23US forces enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.997$25.89
04-07 17:23Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.083$96.51
04-07 17:22Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?SELL0.62781344$196.19
04-05 07:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?BUY0.9659999816$9.95
04-01 15:30Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.64$200.00