0x0dd96bf05d3d265a4bf2351274feb80bdaf98e70
- Realised P&L
- $47.45
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $201.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.978 | 0.981 | $75.70 | +$0.19 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.924 | 0.925 | $55.58 | +$0.06 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No | 0.947 | 0.950 | $28.91 | +$0.11 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.530 | 0.525 | $20.37 | −$0.19 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.570 | 0.585 | $17.80 | +$0.46 |
| Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? · No | 0.680 | 0.675 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.24at 0.396New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins
- +$13.85at 0.372Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5)
- +$13.44at 0.517Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
- +$5.39at 0.884Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.61at 0.875Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:03 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:48 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:36 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9779999855 | $1.21 |
| 09-17 16:36 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9779999997 | $7.62 |
| 09-17 16:31 | Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:31 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 16:09 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9779999883 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:38 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 15:18 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9779999898 | $1.72 |
| 09-17 14:14 | Will Utah Mammoth advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:14 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:14 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9469999867 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:14 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:14 | Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9779999883 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 14:13 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.9469999867 | $1.00 |