0x0dd6258e5efb53345c25338539d9d3e67e0c5fff
- Realised P&L
- $-7.81
- Volume
- $903.00
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $118.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? · No | 0.500 | 0.885 | $38.05 | +$16.55 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.966 | $26.08 | +$2.04 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.860 | 0.920 | $19.32 | +$1.26 |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No | 0.956 | 0.971 | $10.68 | +$0.17 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.945 | $10.39 | +$0.60 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? · No | 0.910 | 0.962 | $7.70 | +$0.42 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.065 | $2.40 | −$1.08 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.087 | $1.75 | −$8.04 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.145 | 0.128 | $0.90 | −$0.12 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.251 | $0.50 | −$0.85 |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.015 | $0.28 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.06at 0.826Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.06at 0.952Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.964Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.879Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.901Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 08:57 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.21 |
| 07-05 08:02 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $9.79 |
| 07-05 07:57 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 07-05 03:37 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.964 | $5.78 |
| 07-04 15:56 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.60 |
| 06-30 05:46 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 06-26 20:41 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 06-26 09:51 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.283 | $2.55 |
| 06-23 07:33 | Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.44 |
| 06-23 03:37 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.879 | $5.27 |
| 06-23 02:32 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.064 | $1.47 |
| 06-22 18:57 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.89 |
| 06-22 17:33 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.98 |
| 06-22 17:32 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.976 | $5.86 |
| 06-22 16:33 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |