0x0dD38654D92b97849a9BD88Ee947BAed507c7c76-1771196934813
0x0dd38654d92b97849a9bd88ee947baed507c7c76
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $77.7k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $141.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.026 | $82.13 | −$382.77 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.034 | $59.34 | −$259.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11AM ET · Down | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? · Yes | 0.401 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.23 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.46at 0.028US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$44.24at 0.890Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
- +$17.30at 0.438Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8PM ET
- +$11.64at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
- +$9.68at 0.446Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 13:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $20.24 |
| 06-23 19:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 06-23 19:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $374.18 |
| 06-04 15:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $164.91 |
| 06-04 15:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $300.00 |
| 05-20 06:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May? | BUY | 0.1399999853 | $8.00 |
| 05-20 06:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | BUY | 0.0389999908 | $4.00 |
| 04-21 17:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | BUY | 0.0899999804 | $3.48 |
| 04-18 21:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | SELL | 0.367623044 | $42.05 |
| 04-18 21:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | SELL | 0.37 | $44.05 |
| 04-18 14:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.4099999947 | $18.30 |
| 04-18 10:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $9.18 |
| 04-18 10:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $18.36 |
| 04-18 09:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | SELL | 0.38 | $17.34 |
| 04-18 08:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $18.33 |