0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403
0x0dccfae62418c61d2f9a642e88df39702d8bd87c
- Realised P&L
- $15.7k
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.352Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$1.9kat 0.878Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.491Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.300Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$1.5kat 0.669Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 07:17 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $143.14 |
| 09-03 07:10 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $55.76 |
| 08-28 09:42 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.8387562351 | $284.18 |
| 08-27 12:17 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $15.62 |
| 08-27 12:17 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $57.80 |
| 08-27 10:30 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $44.51 |
| 08-26 18:55 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.726 | $245.98 |
| 08-21 14:13 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $24.46 |
| 08-21 14:13 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $16.99 |
| 08-21 13:15 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.71 | $42.12 |
| 08-21 10:51 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $4.91 |
| 08-19 14:21 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-18 15:31 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.85 |
| 08-17 19:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $380.00 |
| 08-17 19:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $380.00 |