PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403

0x0dccfae62418c61d2f9a642e88df39702d8bd87c

Realised P&L
$16.1k
Volume
$959.7k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$10.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6320.565$6.0k$717.93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes0.9231.000$1.8k+$136.53
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7010.800$1.5k+$183.87
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.5330.365$1.1k$489.84
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? · No0.7950.970$186.87+$33.73
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · Yes0.0800.130$75.28+$28.95
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.3300.315$67.63$3.22
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3050.075$15.02$45.99
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9100.999$4.99+$0.44
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$19.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$220.56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? · No0.0500.000$0.00$50.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$56.00
Weed rescheduled by June 30? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00$25.86
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul · Tommy Paul0.2180.000$0.00$14.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:33Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.78$495.71
08-02 13:29Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?BUY0.08$46.32
08-02 05:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.33$70.85
08-01 20:04Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.68$33.99
08-01 10:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.93$520.79
08-01 07:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.74$740.00
08-01 07:14Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7$304.86
07-31 22:36Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.73$10.94
07-31 17:17Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?BUY0.95$533.75
07-31 08:56Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.1$51.38
07-30 15:54Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.955$23.88
07-30 15:54Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.954$28.72
07-30 15:54Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31?BUY0.953$7.92
07-30 15:53Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?SELL0.81$174.96
07-30 15:30Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?SELL0.75$75.00