0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403
0x0dccfae62418c61d2f9a642e88df39702d8bd87c
- Realised P&L
- $16.1k
- Volume
- $959.7k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.352Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$1.9kat 0.878Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.491Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.9kat 0.300Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
- +$1.5kat 0.669Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:33 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $495.71 |
| 08-02 13:29 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $46.32 |
| 08-02 05:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $70.85 |
| 08-01 20:04 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.68 | $33.99 |
| 08-01 10:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.93 | $520.79 |
| 08-01 07:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 08-01 07:14 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $304.86 |
| 07-31 22:36 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.94 |
| 07-31 17:17 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $533.75 |
| 07-31 08:56 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $51.38 |
| 07-30 15:54 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.955 | $23.88 |
| 07-30 15:54 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.954 | $28.72 |
| 07-30 15:54 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by July 31? | BUY | 0.953 | $7.92 |
| 07-30 15:53 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $174.96 |
| 07-30 15:30 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $75.00 |