christianox
0x0dc607c5b65025dcb443c10fdcbaed4256bb9889
- Realised P&L
- $-124.0k
- Volume
- $2.47M
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $33.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.335 | $33.5k | −$11.5k |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.955 | 0.957 | $76.89 | +$0.16 |
| UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims) · Nick Klein | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$117.77 |
| UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Tainara Lisboa | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims) · JeongYeong Lee | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.0kat 0.5531H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)
- +$25.1kat 0.497Cowboys vs. Packers
- +$19.9kat 0.557Spread: Bears (-2.5)
- +$19.9kat 0.602Ravens vs. Colts
- +$15.7kat 0.215UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 19:18 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.955 | $76.72 |
| 10-31 19:13 | UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.15 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 19:13 | UFC Fight Night: Theodor Berggren vs. Rodrigo Sezinando (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.62 | $997.08 |
| 10-31 19:13 | UFC Fight Night: Joe Kropschot vs. Nick Klein (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.26 | $69.67 |
| 10-31 19:12 | UFC Fight Night: Mickey Gall vs. Zach Reese (Middleweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.79 | $216.00 |
| 10-31 19:11 | UFC Fight Night: Julian Erosa vs. JeongYeong Lee (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6 | $3.2k |
| 10-31 19:11 | UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.35 | $3.5k |
| 10-31 19:10 | UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.75 | $7.5k |
| 10-31 19:09 | UFC Fight Night: Ode' Osbourne vs. Cody Durden (Flyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.52 | $5.2k |
| 10-31 19:06 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.0k |
| 10-22 22:34 | Patriots vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6 | $6.0k |
| 10-22 22:33 | Spread: Bears (-2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $11.0k |
| 10-22 22:30 | Patriots vs. Bears | BUY | 0.6 | $6.0k |
| 10-22 22:30 | Spread: Bears (-2.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $13.8k |
| 10-18 22:33 | Cowboys vs. Packers | BUY | 0.49 | $24.5k |