fnw
0x0db97631b82e126f5af62bc7cae155b921ba7450
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $176.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,748
- Open portfolio
- $317.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,748
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.564Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$439.64at 0.551Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$437.98at 0.602Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
- +$338.39at 0.597Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$338.14at 0.750Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:12 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 28? | BUY | 0.95 | $121.03 |
| 09-27 15:10 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9839999998 | $51.22 |
| 09-27 15:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9689999998 | $68.95 |
| 09-27 14:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9669999995 | $68.95 |
| 09-26 14:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9809999901 | $55.16 |
| 09-25 07:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999976 | $71.00 |
| 09-24 13:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999979 | $76.00 |
| 09-24 05:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | BUY | 0.7341461497 | $76.00 |
| 08-09 03:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5941994809 | $600.00 |
| 08-09 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7743637166 | $464.78 |
| 08-09 03:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | BUY | 0.7225306442 | $535.22 |
| 08-09 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | SELL | 0.6620732504 | $354.85 |
| 08-09 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | SELL | 0.7742643944 | $405.71 |
| 08-09 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | SELL | 0.9165392899 | $663.90 |
| 08-09 03:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999966 | $284.44 |