prisonfreak
0x0db82b19c1fa67f824f61f0a0b58f035245bd6f6
- Realised P&L
- $54.76
- Volume
- $121.8k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $159.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $82.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $77.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.49at 0.934Cal Poly Mustangs vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans
- +$3.12at 0.999Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?
- +$3.02at 0.970Warriors vs. 76ers
- +$2.82at 0.996Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-11?
- +$2.02at 0.980Timberwolves vs. Pelicans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 17:54 | Will play_music_theory be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.998 | $77.00 |
| 10-07 17:53 | Will TonalEnergy Tuner & Metronome be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.9967376876 | $82.00 |
| 10-06 04:54 | Will the price of Solana be above $145 on October 7? | BUY | 0.9989583125 | $119.82 |
| 10-06 02:09 | Senators vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.999 | $159.00 |
| 10-05 02:15 | Flames vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.999 | $159.00 |
| 10-03 20:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9989999939 | $140.00 |
| 09-29 15:50 | Will the price of XRP be greater than $2.00 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9981275093 | $143.00 |
| 09-26 16:51 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $139.86 |
| 09-24 17:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $143.00 |
| 09-23 11:23 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 09-23 11:23 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on September 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-23 11:22 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on September 24? | BUY | 0.9981304348 | $114.79 |
| 09-21 06:57 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 06:56 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.98 |
| 09-21 06:55 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on September 22? | BUY | 0.9981331085 | $112.48 |