PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0db3cdef27acb59daa8cda9b698f0baec308547d

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$91.5k
Markets traded
701
Open portfolio
$169.45

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded701
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16? · No0.4951.000$45.44+$22.93
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 16? · No0.5191.000$38.00+$18.29
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? · No0.5200.540$24.84+$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17? · No0.4680.600$21.60+$4.75
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? · No0.4800.620$14.26+$3.22
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17? · No0.3800.330$10.23$1.55
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 84°F or higher on September 17? · Yes0.0600.155$6.38+$3.92
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17? · No0.5000.565$3.96+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? · Yes0.4200.395$3.16$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes0.1100.105$1.47$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16? · Yes0.1230.001$0.06$15.50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16? · Yes0.3070.001$0.05$30.97
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes0.1700.001$0.01$4.41
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on April 15? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 15? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 16?BUY0.01$1.00
09-16 18:44Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.49$2.94
09-16 18:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.49$7.35
09-16 18:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.48$2.40
09-16 17:49Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17?BUY0.48$11.04
09-16 17:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?SELL0.33$1.03
09-16 17:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.38$1.52
09-16 17:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?BUY0.52$8.84
09-16 17:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.38$2.28
09-16 17:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.37$1.85
09-16 17:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?BUY0.5099999215$1.04
09-16 17:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?BUY0.52$7.94
09-16 17:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 16?BUY0.42$4.69
09-16 16:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.23$2.07
09-16 16:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16?BUY0.23$2.43