PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0dafbca7916820777ac4056dc5def711a6e8be17

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$415.56

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.4000.455$195.54+$23.64
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8100.685$137.86−$25.14
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.070$28.00−$112.00
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.2700.275$27.50+$0.50
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Saint Sinners (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage · Lilmix0.3800.505$25.25+$6.25
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.2100.155$0.74−$0.26
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Western Conference Semifinals in the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.9600.655$0.68−$0.32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? · No0.7140.000$0.00−$273.90
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? · No0.5210.000$0.00−$420.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No0.6850.000$0.00−$30.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3330.000$0.00−$148.81
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$17.66
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 14:14Counter-Strike: DNK vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBUY0.8342930066$81.72
11-02 14:13Counter-Strike: DNK vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBUY0.8613861376$100.00
11-02 14:12Counter-Strike: DNK vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBUY0.8815427357$302.00
11-02 11:55Counter-Strike: DNK vs Wingman (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageBUY0.39$11.70
10-18 04:11Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?SELL0.85$255.00
10-17 13:50Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.47$47.00
10-17 13:49Wuhan Tennis Open: Iga Swiatek vs Maja ChwalinskaSELL0.04$4.00
10-17 13:36Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.68$67.99
10-17 13:27Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.46$92.00
10-17 13:21Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.56$56.00
10-17 12:52Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.56$56.00
10-13 14:56Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.81$162.00
10-13 11:48Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?SELL0.787$1.02
10-11 13:40Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.4$200.00
10-11 13:03Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.5$200.00