0x0da43eB13bA8C0aAec61F7b639077D3812bD9170-1788522323771
0x0da43eb13ba8c0aaec61f7b639077d3812bd9170
- Realised P&L
- $-4.80
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $0.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.007 | $0.30 | −$0.70 |
| Egypt leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Faisaly Saudi Club? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 16? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Croatia vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Morocco? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.71at 0.079Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?
- +$14.35at 0.454Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
- +$8.00at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$7.17at 0.296England vs. Ghana: Second half draw?
- +$6.87at 0.208Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 22:30 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 16:02 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.899788 | $9.00 |
| 09-21 14:32 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 11:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.0430960179 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:46 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0269999998 | $1.50 |
| 09-11 23:30 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:46 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 11? | BUY | 0.0555555556 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 23:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0169999998 | $1.50 |
| 09-10 19:43 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 10? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.52 |
| 09-10 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 10? | BUY | 0.1047618998 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 10:18 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:23 | Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 1 - 0 Al Faisaly Saudi Club? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 05:54 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.1880597009 | $3.00 |