UmbuzeirodoSertao
0x0da262dae0af2ba1498dceb915eb032246dbef4a
- Realised P&L
- $-490.42
- Volume
- $19.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $75.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.33at 0.460Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
- +$33.80at 0.745Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$25.67at 0.248Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$8.10at 0.595Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?
- +$6.39at 0.001Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $7.06 |
| 09-16 18:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 18:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 12:09 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.78 | $6.24 |
| 09-08 17:44 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 09-08 17:37 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.36 | $10.80 |
| 09-08 17:37 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.35 |
| 08-31 22:05 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.017 | $9.89 |
| 08-22 17:49 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.031 | $3.10 |
| 08-22 17:48 | Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.004547619 | $0.31 |
| 08-22 12:09 | Will André Luís win the Governor of Maranhão election? | BUY | 0.007582321 | $0.59 |
| 08-21 21:22 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? | BUY | 0.583 | $11.66 |
| 08-17 21:30 | Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.008 | $5.92 |
| 08-17 14:36 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.047 | $4.70 |