UmbuzeirodoSertao
0x0da262dae0af2ba1498dceb915eb032246dbef4a
- Realised P&L
- $-172.64
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $248.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.36at 0.449Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
- +$34.93at 0.739Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$26.40at 0.236Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$4.20at 0.300Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$3.13at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 14:26 | Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? | BUY | 0.0548375 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 13:26 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.076 | $5.32 |
| 08-03 12:16 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.40 |
| 08-03 12:14 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.024 | $4.80 |
| 08-03 11:27 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.25 |
| 08-03 11:26 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.024958159 | $5.97 |
| 08-03 11:12 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.90 |
| 08-03 11:11 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.0178582495 | $6.55 |
| 08-01 11:59 | Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.6% and 0.8%? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 07-30 20:42 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 20:23 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.085 | $4.25 |
| 07-30 01:55 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.089 | $1.78 |
| 07-30 01:54 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.076 | $2.28 |
| 07-30 01:30 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | BUY | 0.077 | $4.62 |
| 07-27 22:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.735 | $5.88 |