PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NUUMU

0x0d8389379d4e35459eb3ea266ca4517035a835a4

Realised P&L
$-18.95
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$2.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.0100.004$2.99$5.51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.1200.000$0.00$20.90
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:07Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
09-16 14:06Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.01$1.00
09-16 14:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$3.00
09-16 14:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$3.60
09-16 14:05Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.01$2.00
09-16 14:05Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.01$1.10
09-16 14:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$3.90
09-16 14:04Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999989$4.40
09-16 14:04Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.0098478066$1.10
09-16 14:03Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.0098559515$1.30
09-16 14:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$6.00
09-26 12:21Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.8749999344$10.00
09-12 12:40Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?BUY0.0479999551$1.00
02-14 11:26Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?BUY0.48$12.00
11-05 11:16Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.618999948$11.00