PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lipids

0x0d75a2b92b047b41473908143b7c84dc20c42155

Realised P&L
$45.57
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$0.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.004$0.02$0.08
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.003$0.01$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.002$0.01$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.002$0.01$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.01$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on September 21? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 17°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.0200.001$0.00$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 16:59Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.99$99.00
09-20 14:58Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.985$98.50
09-20 12:58Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 21?BUY0.99$9.90
09-20 12:26Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 20?SELL0.03$0.09
09-20 10:59Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on September 20?SELL0.998$9.98
09-20 10:59Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 20?SELL0.998$9.98
09-20 09:46Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on September 20?BUY0.99$14.85
09-20 09:25Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.999$54.95
09-20 09:20Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.98$53.90
09-20 09:17Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 20?SELL0.997$54.84
09-20 09:07Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on September 20?SELL0.999$4.00
09-20 08:06Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.0969005917$2.46
09-20 08:04Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.114$0.14
09-20 08:03Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.104$0.13
09-20 08:01Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.1$1.02