tdbtc
0x0d759d0139543528e76430db987bc24731759884
- Realised P&L
- $-469.42
- Volume
- $41.5k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 17? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.005 | $0.34 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.61at 0.070Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July?
- +$73.78at 0.461Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1?
- +$66.74at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3PM ET
- +$65.06at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
- +$60.03at 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down on April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 11:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.032 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 12:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.20 |
| 09-08 01:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.0419999999 | $9.27 |
| 09-03 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.2209998856 | $1.25 |
| 09-03 14:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.1307450918 | $95.03 |
| 09-03 14:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9? | SELL | 0.4644107269 | $105.29 |
| 09-03 13:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.3955893704 | $89.69 |
| 09-03 13:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $99.26 |
| 08-30 22:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.3499999945 | $34.75 |
| 08-30 22:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 5? | SELL | 0.13 | $21.67 |
| 08-30 22:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $16.25 |
| 08-30 22:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.36 | $107.19 |
| 08-30 15:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 5? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |
| 08-30 15:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 08-30 15:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.45 |