Freya3607
0x0d758bae49f93c60ab13c37f438cc2605341edc6
- Realised P&L
- $10.71
- Volume
- $24.5k
- Markets traded
- 376
- Open portfolio
- $22.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded376
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $8.70 | −$0.00 |
| Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $7.80 | +$0.00 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $2.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $2.10 | +$0.00 |
| Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $1.10 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.05at 0.749Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 11?
- +$26.54at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 7?
- +$23.88at 0.749Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C or below on April 25?
- +$22.36at 0.750Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 4?
- +$21.78at 0.740Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 20:43 | Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.70 |
| 09-06 18:02 | Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.80 |
| 09-05 10:59 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $2.59 |
| 09-05 10:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $5.88 |
| 09-05 10:56 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.20 |
| 09-05 10:55 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.68 |
| 08-28 06:07 | Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.10 |
| 08-25 02:39 | Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.30 |
| 08-11 09:51 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.10 |
| 08-03 05:36 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.60 |
| 07-30 06:10 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.20 |
| 07-28 00:16 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.90 |
| 07-22 20:16 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.70 |
| 07-17 01:24 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.90 |
| 07-12 02:54 | Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.48 |