Leightonfdb
0x0d6fb5f655e95651f505a5cc2d8f77767a8cf28f
- Realised P&L
- $19.91
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $16.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $16.57 | −$0.33 |
| Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.02 |
| Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026? · No | 0.679 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.93 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.12 |
| Spread: LSU (-10.5) · Clemson | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.62at 0.500Will Stačilo! win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?
- +$90.40at 0.500Will the Browns win the AFC Championship?
- +$90.27at 0.500Will Tommy Paul win Wimbledon 2025?
- +$51.84at 0.276Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$34.74at 0.407Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:05 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $16.90 |
| 09-03 09:04 | Spread: LSU (-10.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $11.66 |
| 08-17 03:07 | Will Byron Donalds win the Florida Republican Governor primary by at least 40%? | BUY | 0.46 | $10.12 |
| 07-29 03:13 | Will FC Hradec Králové win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.74 | $21.02 |
| 07-15 09:52 | Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $61.81 |
| 07-15 09:51 | Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.47 | $26.79 |
| 07-15 09:50 | Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.12 |
| 06-30 06:29 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4 | $23.44 |
| 06-25 02:38 | Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $44.95 |
| 06-25 02:38 | Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.27 | $19.33 |
| 06-25 02:36 | Will Russia enter Sumy by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $45.00 |
| 05-28 03:47 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.99 | $64.35 |
| 05-28 03:47 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 05-28 03:47 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.58 |
| 05-28 03:47 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 May 25-31? | BUY | 0.998001996 | $10.00 |