Prince-with-no-head
0x0d61d66383635c56b8d3cf012525b623130f17cf
- Realised P&L
- $10.56
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $119.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-01 House seat? · No | 0.973 | 0.986 | $66.91 | +$0.85 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.972 | 0.982 | $53.00 | +$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.15at 0.937Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
- +$1.13at 0.975Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
- +$0.55at 0.930Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
- +$0.55at 0.940Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$0.54at 0.953Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 11:15 | Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | BUY | 0.9 | $21.79 |