ChiangWan-an
0x0d5ee5c536ccd78d179487b3d7e43ae4304d5c24
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $413.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,790
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,790
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.67at 0.963Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?
- +$119.38at 0.911Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$116.71at 0.910Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
- +$111.48at 0.892Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$110.55at 0.898Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 11PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 14:36 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $145.80 |
| 10-31 12:10 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.57 | $12.54 |
| 10-30 16:08 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $24.75 |
| 10-30 15:33 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $63.90 |
| 10-29 05:40 | Will CCTV broadcast another Real Madrid match in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $12.74 |
| 10-28 13:10 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | SELL | 0.52 | $77.56 |
| 10-28 03:11 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | SELL | 0.96 | $21.60 |
| 10-27 01:21 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.95 | $104.20 |
| 10-27 01:19 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.91 | $33.27 |
| 10-23 08:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? | BUY | 0.83 | $22.49 |
| 10-22 08:03 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $89.10 |
| 10-22 02:52 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.5778011236 | $51.42 |
| 10-22 01:53 | Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election? | SELL | 0.85 | $22.95 |
| 10-19 06:38 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6 | $54.00 |
| 10-17 11:00 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.51 |