katekats
0x0d5c9e5b7b3f9baf9faa1f02369962232f42bcd5
- Realised P&L
- $-44.85
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $14.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.405 | $14.79 | −$4.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.33at 0.090Will Trump say "Hitler" during Georgia rally on October 28?
- +$16.38at 0.636Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?
- +$14.34at 0.768S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?
- +$12.45at 0.760Saints vs. Chargers
- +$11.34at 0.800Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 10:22 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5399999951 | $19.72 |
| 05-25 17:02 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.959953173 | $20.50 |
| 05-25 16:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.97 |
| 05-18 11:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.97 |
| 02-26 06:42 | US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $17.89 |
| 02-26 06:41 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.89 |
| 02-26 06:40 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999739 | $18.10 |
| 02-12 06:35 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3276982715 | $17.98 |
| 02-05 04:01 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February? | SELL | 0.986 | $81.58 |
| 02-04 05:04 | Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February? | BUY | 0.983 | $81.34 |
| 02-02 16:23 | Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 02-02 14:40 | Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1937294179 | $7.39 |
| 02-02 08:27 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | SELL | 0.96 | $71.79 |
| 01-31 19:01 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | BUY | 0.7681921715 | $57.45 |
| 01-31 19:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January? | SELL | 0.999 | $57.45 |