PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

65fg156df

0x0d4d97b68cc28371656085d6f3c8a09d516b4a9d

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$38.1k
Markets traded
274
Open portfolio
$394.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded274
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No0.7101.000$100.00+$29.00
Will "Hacks" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? · No0.5701.000$100.00+$43.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.535$26.75−$0.25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.535$26.75−$0.25
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.480$24.00−$0.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4700.425$21.25−$2.25
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20−$0.40
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.7100.855$17.10+$2.90
Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7900.765$15.30−$0.50
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7700.745$14.90−$0.50
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.385$7.70−$3.30
Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? · Yes0.3500.360$7.20+$0.20
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.125$6.25−$5.75
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.2100.200$4.00−$0.20
Will Samanda de Lula win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? · Yes0.3100.150$3.00−$3.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:18Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.65$13.00
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-06 15:09Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$12.92
09-06 15:09Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$0.68
09-02 22:00Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.8$14.25
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
08-20 13:04Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?SELL0.17$0.08
08-20 07:24Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.18$3.60
08-19 20:06Will S8UL Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?SELL0.34$6.80
08-19 03:32Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?SELL0.013$0.26
08-19 03:32Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.37$7.40
08-18 04:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.4765$9.53
08-18 04:14Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 06:39Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?SELL0.09$1.80
08-17 06:39Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.14$2.80